May 16, 2012

Natural Hazards: Some Pitfalls on the Path to a Neutral Interest Rate

2011 – David Laidler

July 28 – While the Bank of Canada expects the Canadian economy to return to full employment by the middle of 2012, its critics have stressed the need to raise interest rates to a “neutral” value by then to keep inflation stable. But defining this neutral level, normally associated with full employment, is a bit of a smoke and mirrors game, according to a report from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Natural Hazards: Some Pitfalls on the Path to a Neutral Interest Rate,” David Laidler, a leading monetary economist, questions the theoretical concept of the “natural interest rate” that underlies the idea that there is a well-determined and stable neutral value for market rates.

For the report go to:
http://www.cdhowe.org/pdf/Backgrounder_140.pdf

 

Order a hard copy of this research Defining “Neutral” Level for Interest Rates a Smoke and Mirrors Game @ $12.00
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