Financial Services and Regulation - Op Eds

Fitch’s recent downgrade of U.S. public debt, dropping it one notch below “AAA,” is good reason to examine the relationship between U.S. debt and the dollar’s future as a reserve currency. The greenback is just the latest in a series of preferred currencies that have been used for foreign exchange reserves and to denominate other assets. But reserve currencies, unlike diamonds, aren’t necessarily forever, and that affects their issuers’ capacity to manage their public debt.

The British pound was the world’s reserve currency in the 19th and early 20th centuries, with a typical exchange rate a century ago of around US$5, vs. US$1.25 per pound today. The pound faded after 1945 because of Britain’s massive war debts, the…

Our national “productivity gap” has spurred analyses, reports and media articles for decades. While public debate in Canada has focused on productivity improvement for more than 50 years, we have made limited progress. Fresh thinking is required.

While innovation through research and development (R&D) is certainly important to productivity growth – and has preoccupied the federal government over the past half-century – there is also a connection between firm size and productivity. The larger the firm, the more productive it typically is. Logically, then – and the research supports this proposition – one way to increase our productivity is to increase the size of our companies from small and medium to large. Something we have…

It has been 15 years since the $100,000 deposit insurance limit for eligible deposits at the Big Six banks and a host of other smaller federally-regulated deposit-taking institutions came into force. Inflation since then suggests the time has come to raise it. But we may want to think about other changes, too.

Canada has a fragmented deposit insurance system. In addition to the federal system managed by the Canada Deposit Insurance Corp.(CDIC), deposits of provincially incorporated institutions, like most credit unions and caisses populaires, are backed by their respective provincial deposit insurance corporations. Coverage limits in those systems range from $100,000 in Quebec to full coverage in the four western…

Last week, the Bank of Canada held its overnight rate, its benchmark policy rate, at 4.5 per cent. No surprises there. In its last announcement, the bank told us the data were consistent with their view that, with the target rate where it is, inflation would come back down to three per cent by the middle of this year. Data since have not changed governing council’s view that at present more tightening wasn’t necessary.

In fact, if anything, the major economic development over the last six weeks, the failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank, as well as the emergency takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS Group AG, made caution even more prudent. Furthermore, it might actually make the…

The knock-on effects from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank also spread to stablecoins. The day after SVB’s failure, USDC, the world’s second-largest stablecoin, announced it had $US3 billion on deposit with SVB and promptly, but briefly, lost its peg to the U.S. dollar. Some people will see this as another nail in stablecoin’s coffin. In our view, it’s another example of why the federal government needs to establish a legal and regulatory framework for stablecoins that seek to serve as money. If it aims to be money, and it could be money, let’s regulate it like money.

Bitcoin may get all the headlines, but without any asset backing it, it has no future as money. Stablecoins do. They are crypto assets in that they…