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October 11, 2018

A large black market combined with supply shortages of legal marijuana will cut potential tax revenues by an estimated $800 million in the first year of legalization, according to a new report from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Cannabis Countdown: Estimating the Size of Illegal Markets and Lost Tax Revenue Post-Legalization,” authors Anindya Sen and Rosalie Wyonch find that government revenue forgone to black market activity will likely exceed the amount federal and provincial governments collect, a figure only between $300 - $600 million.

Anindya Sen

Anindya Sen is Professor of Economics and Director of the Master of Public Service at the University of Waterloo. He received his Ph.D. from the University of Toronto. Prior to working at the University of Waterloo, Professor Sen worked as an economist at the Competition Bureau, Industry Canada.

Rosalie Wyonch

Rosalie Wyonch is a Senior Policy Analyst and leads the C.D. Howe Institute's Health Policy Council and Research Initiative. Her research focuses on policy issues affecting healthcare in Canada.