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January 30, 2013

Ontarians carry a $1.4 trillion fiscal burden – the higher tax bill for increased healthcare costs over the next half-century – and should prepare now for the coming demographic squeeze, says a report released today from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Managing Healthcare for an Aging Population: Does the Demographic Glacier Portend a Fiscal Ice-Age in Ontario?” authors Colin Busby and William B.P. Robson recommend that Ontario prefund selected healthcare services and benchmark against other provinces to get better health bang for their tax bucks.

“Publicly funded healthcare’s claim on provincial resources continues to rise in Ontario,” said Colin Busby. “Our projections show the share of demographically sensitive programs, including healthcare, education and other age-based programs, rising from 14.1 percent of provincial GDP today to 23.3 percent over the next five decades. Meeting these demands from its own resources would require the province to increase its tax bite from Ontarians’ incomes by 60 percent,” added Busby.

Colin Busby
Colin Busby

Colin Busby was awarded the 2007 C.D. Howe Research Fellowship and joined the Institute as an analyst thereafter. While writing broadly on economic issues, his emphasis is on fiscal and social policy. Appointed Associate Director of Research in 2016, Colin focuses his attention on the Institute’s healthcare policy and human capital research.

William B.P. Robson
William Robson

Bill Robson took office as CEO of the C.D. Howe Institute in July 2006, after serving as the Institute’s Senior Vice President since 2003 and Director of Research from 2000 to 2003. He has written more than 240 monographs, articles, chapters and books on such subjects as government budgets, pensions, healthcare financing, inflation and currency issues.