Business Cycle
Business cycle research covers the timing, depth and industrial scope of upswings, peaks, downturns and troughs in the general economy. It analyses short and medium-term movements in related indicators such as unemployment, investment or consumption, as distinct from their long-term, structural evolution.
March 5, 2014 - Pierre Siklos
The continuing possibility that things could take a turn for the worse in the eurozone ought to be a concern for Canadian policymakers, according to a report released today by the C.D. Howe Institute...
September 4, 2013 - Greg Tkacz
Predicting recessions in real-time could be made possible by mining vast new sources of electronic data, according to a report released today by the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Predicting Recessions in...
March 6, 2013 - Philippe Bergevin
While the Canadian labour market has shown great resilience since the last recession and is nearly back to normal, important weaknesses remain for youth and the long-term unemployed, according to a...
October 24, 2012 - Philip Cross and Philippe Bergevin
Market-based economies tend to exhibit cyclical behaviour. The recent financial crisis, with devastating impacts that are still being felt today, has added urgency to the drive to improve our...
September 12, 2012 - Philippe Bergevin
The Bank of Canada needs a better inflation indicator that is more sensitive to swings in house prices than the Consumer Price Index (CPI), according to a new report from the C.D. Howe Institute. In...
September 11, 2011 - Colin Busby and Philippe Bergevin
The Bank of Canada should place less emphasis on the “core” Consumer Price Index (CPI) in explaining its policy choices, according to a report released today by the C.D. Howe Institute. In, “Core,...
Council Report
December 13, 2017
The C.D. Howe Institute’s Business Cycle Council met on Wednesday December 13 to review its assessments of Canadian business cycle dates.
The C.D. Howe Institute Business Cycle Council, chaired by...
Intelligence Memos
From: Jim MacGee
To: Bill Morneau, Minister of Finance
Date: November 10, 2017
Re: Limit the Buildup of Risk, not Competition, in Mortgage Lending
Last month saw another move to limit the buildup of...
Council Report
July 6, 2017
July 6, 2017 — In a tight vote, the C.D. Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council (MPC) called for the Bank of Canada to keep its target for the overnight rate, the very short-term interest rate it...
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22 Feb 2018
Feb
22
Roundtable Luncheon with Benjamin Dachis, Rocco Rossi and Douglas E. Turnbull
Toronto, 67 Yonge Street, Suite 300
Thursday, February 22, 2018, 12:00 pm to 1:30 pm
02 Feb 2018
Feb
02
Canada’s 2018 Foreign Policy Agenda
Toronto, 67 Yonge Street, Suite 300
Friday, February 2, 2018, 12:00 pm to 1:30 pm
10 Jan 2018
Jan
10
Roundtable Luncheon with Rahim Hirji, Benjamin Tal, and Barbara Zvan
Toronto, 67 Yonge Street, Suite 300
Wednesday, January 10, 2018, 12:00 pm to 1:30 pm
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July 8, 2015
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